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The Downfall Of WoW

DruNk_DwArF2DruNk_DwArF2 Member UncommonPosts: 196
I am referring too World Of Warcraft should have come to no surprise..As many of you know it broke all MMO records in number of subscribers and much more..But as the gaming industry moves on and new games release will World Of Warcraft stand the test of the ages? Many people i speak to in-game and my entire guild of 200 players are going to one or the other being Age Of Conan,Or Warhammer Online..You may jump on me saying (But that is only 200 players there are 8million) But as i said,Many people i speak too,being it in Real Life,Or just people who play the game in general or any forum i go too..But the big question is..Can these 2 games tackle the big boy,And in my opinion if World of Warcraft doesn't pull a snake out of their hat,they are going to see a huge hit in subscription numbers..No i'm not talking about a few hundred thousand.I'm talking in the millions...Many players in World Of Warcraft are tired of end-game raiding to only means to be good,,PvP system is lacking depth and the developers are lazy showing lack of talent and interest



As you all know the last expansion The Burning Crusade allowed millions of players to reach level 70,And as you all know the lazy developers instead of balancing out and possibly bringing new classes to the lineup they give both Horde and Alliance Shaman,Paladin...Now if that isn't being lazy i don't know what it is...They could easily come up with new classes as i've never seen the Opposing force of good have a class that represents everything that is good/holy i.e the Paladin...They could have EASILY gave horde Shadow Knight (Avernus),And alliance something similar..I am no Warcraft expert but i'm sure there is something similar they could have gave to Alliance.That being said i think many players are losing interest..Is it possible Blizzard is aware that they are coming under attack? Well i don't know from what i hear they are too confident in their product to really care..After all if you owned something that had 8million some odd players logging in every week you'd think the same..But boy are they in for a surprise.



Is Blizzard planning a counter-attack? Somebody with more info than me might know,but i sure do not.I hear of an expansion but who knows if this is true i think it will be some what hard..And what are they doing with this expansion and will it release in time to stop the inevitable wave of MMO's that will potentially put the nail in the coffin.Although the nail will NEVER go completely into the coffin because of the World-Wide player base Asia etc. that doesn't care about WAR or AOC. well post you're opinions and vote in the poll

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MMORPG's Under my belt:UO,EQ1,EQ2,SWG,L2,COH,COV,WoW,AC2,Shadowbane,DAOC,FFXI,GW,D&D,V:SOH,LOTR:O

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Comments

  • nomadiannomadian Member Posts: 3,490

    I think its very likely Blizzard will come up with a competitive expansion, and it will come out stategically meaning it will bear Age of Conan and Warhammer in mind. They maybe little game in comparison but only a foolish company would pay no attention to their competition.

  • AsgirAsgir Member Posts: 5
    Of course AoC and WAR will draw many people from WoW, especially the PvP/RvR-Fans (WAR) and those who prefer decent graphics (AoC). But after all that won't be the downfall of WoW. They will merge some Servers ... maybe. They will create bigger Realmpools ... maybe. But WoW will not go down.

    But even if it does ... I don't really care, because I won't be there anymore :)
  • RecantRecant Member UncommonPosts: 1,586
    "Downfall" is a pretty strong word.  If WoW lost half their subscribers overnight and merged 75% of their servers, it would still be one of the most popular MMOs out there.  At some point subscriptions for WoW will drop - of course they will -  there's not enough gamers on the planet to maintain a consistent growth of the game.



    When server merges do eventually come around, people will claim that WoW is dying, but they will be very wrong. I look forward to Tabula Rasa and AoC, as well as other non-MMOs, but nothing is ever going to "harm" Blizzard with regards to stealing WoW's subscriber numbers.



    WoW  will be long remembered as a classic among PC games such as Civilization, Doom, Monkey Island etc..  sure.  These games werent' the first of their genre, but they were considered the best by the majority of people.   MMORPG.com caters toward the anti-WoW crowd, so most people here won't agree, but history will.



    There will be no downfall.

    Still waiting for your Holy Grail MMORPG? Interesting...

  • GameloadingGameloading Member UncommonPosts: 14,182
    No, there won't be a downfall of WoW and No, WAR and AoC will not reach 1 million subscribers. There is too much competition.
  • GresloreGreslore Member Posts: 243
    Originally posted by nomadian


    I think its very likely Blizzard will come up with a competitive expansion, and it will come out stategically meaning it will bear Age of Conan and Warhammer in mind. They maybe little game in comparison but only a foolish company would pay no attention to their competition.
    I agree with this.  I'd bet they will indeed release an expansion to make WoW a bit more competitve against the newcomers.  Either way, its great for the players. 



    Say what you will, but WoW was a good thing for our MMORPG world.  It is causing other companies to outdo Bilzzard, and (hopefully) Blizzard to out-do themselves to hold on to players. 

    "...and with that cryptic comment, I'm off to bed!"

  • feacfeac Member UncommonPosts: 127
    people move onto new games new people come to wow the circle continues, plus mmorpgs that came out 10 years ago and had 200k subs are still going and turning a profit now so think u can safely say wow will still be around in 10 years time it will just have a differant player base than now /shrug
  • kishekishe Member UncommonPosts: 2,012
    No mmorpg will ever again reach the numbers wow did...unless they do something remarkably different that will attract more players to the scene...mmo marget is soo saturated that it isnt even funny.
  • MidavegMidaveg Member Posts: 296
    Originally posted by Recant

    "Downfall" is a pretty strong word.  If WoW lost half their subscribers overnight and merged 75% of their servers, it would still be one of the most popular MMOs out there.  At some point subscriptions for WoW will drop - of course they will -  there's not enough gamers on the planet to maintain a consistent growth of the game.



    When server merges do eventually come around, people will claim that WoW is dying, but they will be very wrong. I look forward to Tabula Rasa and AoC, as well as other non-MMOs, but nothing is ever going to "harm" Blizzard with regards to stealing WoW's subscriber numbers.



    WoW  will be long remembered as a classic among PC games such as Civilization, Doom, Monkey Island etc..  sure.  These games werent' the first of their genre, but they were considered the best by the majority of people.   MMORPG.com caters toward the anti-WoW crowd, so most people here won't agree, but history will.



    There will be no downfall.


    QFT! Very true.

    All canceled. Waiting on Warhammer Online : Age of Reckoning.

  • amousamous Member Posts: 169
    Originally posted by Greslore

    Originally posted by nomadian


    I think its very likely Blizzard will come up with a competitive expansion, and it will come out stategically meaning it will bear Age of Conan and Warhammer in mind. They maybe little game in comparison but only a foolish company would pay no attention to their competition.
    I agree with this.  I'd bet they will indeed release an expansion to make WoW a bit more competitve against the newcomers.  Either way, its great for the players. 



    Say what you will, but WoW was a good thing for our MMORPG world.  It is causing other companies to outdo Bilzzard, and (hopefully) Blizzard to out-do themselves to hold on to players. 

    This is true but is it to late for Blizzard, are players wanting something new and fresh. Thats what they have to look out for, if I was with the company I would be conducting some kind of survey to find out what the public wants.

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  • ConleyConley Member Posts: 195

     

    If only i would get one penny for every time someone claimed WoW was going to die, i would have been multimillionaire already.

    At the time the OP is writing this post, according to NDP The Burning Crusade is the number 1 selling game in the U.S. with the original a close second. In my home country in the netherlands, its the same story, TBC being number one, WoW being number 2.

    Needless to say, i could still become millionare if everyone making the claim that WoW will go down gives me a penny.

  • RecantRecant Member UncommonPosts: 1,586
    Originally posted by kishe

    No mmorpg will ever again reach the numbers wow did...unless they do something remarkably different that will attract more players to the scene...mmo marget is soo saturated that it isnt even funny.
    I think that's a little pessimistic, but I agree that the market is very saturated and that we won't see a successful PC MMO like WoW for a long time.   I think that, if done well, a console-MMORPG could break WoW's subscriber numbers.  Maybe with the Playstation 4 or the Nintendo Wiii or XBox 1080 or something!



    World of Starcraft could break 10million subscribers, as long as Starcraft 2 lives up to the hype.

    Still waiting for your Holy Grail MMORPG? Interesting...

  • amousamous Member Posts: 169
    I agree with you on that, I mean I stopped playing for my own reasons and I am not planning on going back, but I wouldnt goes as far as saying that WoW will fall but I do see a really big MMO fight coming up. 

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  • battleaxe22battleaxe22 Member UncommonPosts: 303
    I'l be short : Damn,how many more years do I have to read "WOW DEAD OMGF"



    Eq and UO had faaaar less subs but they are still getting a profit





    peas.
  • DruNk_DwArF2DruNk_DwArF2 Member UncommonPosts: 196
    The original name to this topic post was,,Will the beast fall?.....But nobody was reading it so i changed the title..If you actually read what i said.i'm not saying WoW is going to die.So stop acting like children please.

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    MMORPG's Under my belt:UO,EQ1,EQ2,SWG,L2,COH,COV,WoW,AC2,Shadowbane,DAOC,FFXI,GW,D&D,V:SOH,LOTR:O

  • JaggaSpikesJaggaSpikes Member UncommonPosts: 430
    WoW is going down. It will not happen with a big bang. It could linger forever, but creative thought is leaving. Subs will not really suffer. Game is too good and Blizzard knows how to keep it running.



    BC didn't bring anything new, and it ,in effect, removed content from the game (old raid instances). While I just love how Blizzard handles production, their IP maintenance is, at least, lacking.



    What WoW really needs is a new war. Horde-Alliance conflict is way to shallow. If they introduce new factions, things could stir up.



    And role-playing is in constant decline. Blizzard's treatment of RP community is total ignorance.



    As for shinnies,... Blizzard knows their shinnies.



    Unless they put some serious thought for the next expansion, i predict WoW will become heaven for raiders and gold farmers.



    I love WoW, played for almost two years, I still love it, but I have changed and WoW hasn't. And what doesn't change, dies.
  • LemacsLemacs Member UncommonPosts: 121

     I think that if WOW does not change some things up in there game then they will loose sub. I am not saying they will crash and burn but you will see a drop in there player base. I know people that like the game don't what to hear that, and people that don't like the game what to hear that it going to fail. If I had to realistically predict what will happen to WOW in the future I would have to say that. They will come out with another expansion, trying to compete with other titles that are new to the MMO world.

     That kind of leads into another question what will WOW's next expansion be? They will have to give the game a graphics overhaul! Is it too late for blizzard to change there way of thinking on how the never ending end game raids work? Hell who knows?

     I could really care less if WOW fails or breaks 16 mill. Sub. WOW did a great job and I knew from the beginning that Blizzard would make a great game, because they always do. But just like any other game people grow tired of them and will, what something new and fresh, Hopefully AOC or WAR can bring that but if they cant then I will wait for the next to come out.

     It is really funny to see people play MMO’s for the first time because they take them so serious like they can put them down and play something new. I remember the first MMO that I play really played serious, it made me sick when I thought of switching over to something new. I was like “I can’t switch look at all the time and money I put into this game” then I realized it is a game and it is all about having fun. I like trying new things and I can’t wait for the new MMO to start hitting the market so they can take some more of my money.

    UO-EQ1-SWG-DAOC-WOW-EQ2-WAR-GW2-RIFT

  • lomillerlomiller Member Posts: 1,810
    WoW is increasingly becoming it’s own little bubble (ok very big bubble). The people playing it do so because it’s Blizzard/Warcraft or because their friends play it. Most have no real interest in MMO’s in general so no MMO is ever going to hurt it.  It’s been several years since the rise and fall of WoW’s subscriber base had anything to do with anything happening in the MMO world.  


    There is a general level of displeasure and burn out with WoW at the moment and this will probably cause a decline in it’s player base, but the vast majority of these people are leaving to play shooters, console games, etc.  When WoW really collapse it will be because it’s player base moves on to one of these genres, but it’s comparative quality, current state, current mood of it’s player base will only have a relatively small impact on the size of the player base.  
  • SavvonSavvon Member Posts: 98
    I know of a guild of 200+ that left WoW for Vangaurd....





    Need I say more?
  • retye50retye50 Member UncommonPosts: 50
    I wonder ....how long will it take for  that 200+ guild to get tired of playing a game at 4-16 FPS?
  • DruNk_DwArF2DruNk_DwArF2 Member UncommonPosts: 196
    Originally posted by Savvon

    I know of a guild of 200+ that left WoW for Vangaurd....





    Need I say more?
    Hmm Yeah you do need to say more,i knew somebody was going to comment on this.Think you need to explore some more forums to realize it just isn't my guild who is leaving for one or the other..Yeah.

    image

    MMORPG's Under my belt:UO,EQ1,EQ2,SWG,L2,COH,COV,WoW,AC2,Shadowbane,DAOC,FFXI,GW,D&D,V:SOH,LOTR:O

  • SavvonSavvon Member Posts: 98
    Ok, I will say more.



    For over 10 years new games were suppose to kill the top dog.



    EXAMPLE:

    EQ was suppose to kill UO.

    DAoC was suppose to kill EQ.

    SWG was suppose to kill DAoC.

    SWG killed itself.



    You see a pattern?



    I have tried to get this through people like you heads for many years. You are a dime a dozen who just needs to get with the program or you will spend all your Mothers money on games you will never play. You will be a better shopper when you have to start paying for games yourself.

    LOTRO was going to be the death of WoW. I re-subbed after canceling after 3 weeks of LOTRO. I know a few others that have as well as they stated when we chit-chat while adventuring. Let’s see, oh ya, Vangaurd was the death of WoW. I didn’t even try that POS because I knew it was going to fail when I first read about it. I’ve been burned too many times, I can smell a failure a mile away.

    Speaking of failures,

    AoC seems cool, but has RYL combat mechanics (twitch game mechanics) and you play solo for the first 20 levels. That’s cool for the first time around, but what happens to all the alt junkies out there? Might be beyond repetitive for them. Then again, this is all hearsay because many of AoC’s systems are still in development.

    And WAR will be very short lived because WARHAMMER 40K (which many thought WAR was in the first place) will tower over WAR. Who wants an imitation when the real thing is around the corner?

    When WAR and AoC lose the “fight” against the immovable object known as WoW, we will have another set of “next-gen” games come up as Contenders.

    The difference between you and I is, I will save at least $100. not buying WAR or AoC and I will be happy playing my game.

  • BattleFelonBattleFelon Member UncommonPosts: 483

    Personally, I think the thing that will hurt WOW is competition from other Blizzard products, like the next Diablo or a Starcraft MMO if one is ever developed. I agree with the posters who say much of WOW's subscriber base are more Blizzard fans than devotees to the MMOG genre.

    However, I completely disagree with the idea that no other upcoming MMOG will not draw in a million or more players. Considering the millions of Warhammer or former Warhammer players worldwide, and considering the huge success of the 40K Dawn of War RTS, I wouldn't be surprised if WAR hit several million players in the first few months. Obviously, the game has to be awesome to keep them, and the Warhammer franchise.

  • DruNk_DwArF2DruNk_DwArF2 Member UncommonPosts: 196
    Originally posted by Savvon

    Ok, I will say more.



    For over 10 years new games were suppose to kill the top dog.



    EXAMPLE:

    EQ was suppose to kill UO.

    DAoC was suppose to kill EQ.

    SWG was suppose to kill DAoC.

    SWG killed itself.



    You see a pattern?



    I have tried to get this through people like you heads for many years. You are a dime a dozen who just needs to get with the program or you will spend all your Mothers money on games you will never play. You will be a better shopper when you have to start paying for games yourself.



    LOTRO was going to be the death of WoW. I re-subbed after canceling after 3 weeks of LOTRO. I know a few others that have as well as they stated when we chit-chat while adventuring. Let’s see, oh ya, Vangaurd was the death of WoW. I didn’t even try that POS because I knew it was going to fail when I first read about it. I’ve been burned too many times, I can smell a failure a mile away.
    Speaking of failures,
    AoC seems cool, but has RYL combat mechanics (twitch game mechanics) and you play solo for the first 20 levels. That’s cool for the first time around, but what happens to all the alt junkies out there? Might be beyond repetitive for them. Then again, this is all hearsay because many of AoC’s systems are still in development.
    And WAR will be very short lived because WARHAMMER 40K (which many thought WAR was in the first place) will tower over WAR. Who wants an imitation when the real thing is around the corner?
    When WAR and AoC lose the “fight” against the immovable object known as WoW, we will have another set of “next-gen” games come up as Contenders.
    The difference between you and I is, I will save at least $100. not buying WAR or AoC and I will be happy playing my game.

    I think you aren't seeing the big picture here,you shall soon see and are nothing but a fool to say WAR will be short lived.. Oh and BTW I buy my games myself,i work hard for my paycheck,you know nothing of me.And i do know nothing of you,so i wouldn't make assumptions.

    image

    MMORPG's Under my belt:UO,EQ1,EQ2,SWG,L2,COH,COV,WoW,AC2,Shadowbane,DAOC,FFXI,GW,D&D,V:SOH,LOTR:O

  • PerceptionPerception Member Posts: 188
    To the OP,



    First, and not to be rude here, but your posts don't give the impression of an intelligent driving force behind them, so you really have no place lecturing us on MMORPG trends.



    Second, you use nothing but common fallacies to back up your claims, such as presupposition, anecdotal evidence, and bandwagoning.



    Now, with that out of the way, I think it goes without saying that any company who would rest on their proverbial laurels can find themselves being supplanted by another, more ambitious company.  Thats the nature of a competitive market. 



    Is Blizzard worried about AoC and WAR?  I doubt it.  But I certainly think they would be foolish to not keep an eye on these games, and make sure that WoW stays competitive.  The people who are worried are most definitely Mythic and Funcom.  Not only are they going up against the juggernaut of WoW, but they are also going to be competing with each other, as well as the many other established MMORPG's in the market.
  • knives22knives22 Member Posts: 375
    Originally posted by Asgir

    Of course AoC and WAR will draw many people from WoW, especially the PvP/RvR-Fans (WAR) and those who prefer decent graphics (AoC).

    What makes you think WAR is any more PvP heavy than AoC is? who told you this?
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