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1. Made by Blizzard, up until now, they have always made very fun and quality games.
2. Will be simultaneously released across the world, including Europe, the redheaded stepchild in MMORPG land. A few examples : SWG will be released in Europe almost a year after the US launch. DAoC in Europe is months behind the US version in terms of updates and expansions and the CS in Europe is alot worse then in the US. Many other MMORPG's will never be released in Europe. Europe will support Blizzard because if this. EQ is reasonably strong in Europe, but I am sure many of the EQ players will check out WoW, even if it is just because they are curious or have a burn out in EQ. I am guessing 400k players from Europe will join WoW in the 1st 2 months of live.
3. Korea, the land where MMORPG's are incredibly popular with Lineage having 2.5 Million players in Korea. Add to this that Blizzard is the absolute number 1 game selling company in Korea, without any competition ( Talking about regular boxed games here, Lineage can be downloaded ). And add to this that WoW beta will start in the US and ... you guessed it ... Korea. This is a very wise strategic descision from Blizzard. If Blizzard implements a good Guild structure then I am guessing at least 500k players will join WoW in the 1st 2 months of live ( since Lineage2 is further away from release then WoW ).
4. In the US everyone is looking for a new and better MMORPG, SWG was a dissapointment at launch, and the most important reason people play SWG is because they released the game with good timing ( that is why there are so many bugs there ). Once WoW releases everyone and his brother will probably jump of the SWG train and on the WoW train ( keep in mind they got 300k players, for a bugged game with not alot of content, purely based on franchise ). Also DAoC, being one of the better MMORPG's, still has many vets bored, an the beta of WoW will prolly start before ToA ( latest Xpack ) comes out, and the Beta of WoW will of course include US. So many players will leave DAoC for WoW ( DAoC has around 300k players worldwide ). WoW is direct competition for DAoC and will hurt DAoC alot. On the EQ front there is big competition and EQ2 is comming out before WoW, but if the Beta is good then WoW will also steal players away from EQ before EQ2 is released. I am guessing that WoW will get at least 300k players from the US.
5. Many many newbie MMORPG players will jump the WoW bandwagon, from my friends alone, 50% of the gamers will try out WoW as their 1st MMORPG. I am guessing WoW will get at least 200k players worldwide from MMORPG newbies who played the Warcraft and Diablo series.
So my estimate is that after 2 months of live WoW will have 1.400.000 players worldwide, making it the second biggest MMORPG after Lineage. If they will be able to keep those players mainly depends on the quality of the game during the 1st 2 months of launch.
These are all speculations, only time will tell ...
Greetings,
CyberGhost.
If you are interested in subscription or PCU numbers for MMORPG's, check out my site :
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Favorite MMORPG's : DAoC pre ToA-NF, SWG Pre CU-NGE, EVE Online
Comments
OMG the graphics are about a million times better then EQ graphics. The art is different but I have never seen a Blizzard game that didn't look great. EQ on the other hand...
I also doubt WoW will do quite that well but the Blizzard name goes a long way. I personally think it will do well amongst EQ players that like the PvE aspect and people new to MMORPGs drawn in by the Blizard name.
People that continue to play DAoC play for RvR, something WoW doesn't really feature. Even if people leave DAoC for WoW I don't see them cancelling their account because they will want to get back to RvR at times.
The graphics are cartoon like but as alongs as they aren't totally rubbish I think people will forgive that for good game play.
Some may come from other MMORPG's to play WoW but I don't think it will be as many as you are predicting above.. just my opinion
Hoodwink - Half Elf Ranger
Hoodwink
Blizzard is making the game with those graphics on purpose. I like the way it looks. It's not so real it looks fake...
I would give good graphics for good gameplay any time.
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E.T. is alive...
MMORPG.com - Gramp Staff
What will he do next?
Is there really no PvP in WoW ? Man that sucks....RvR in WoW would be just great. The horde vs the ally..Great. Why arent they doing this. I dont get it.
Live by the sword - Die by the sword
Live by the sword - Die by the sword
There's going to be PvP. If I was walking around and seen you, I could always "dual" you. . . you would have to accept the dual and we would start to fight. No EXP lost or loot.
Second PvP are arenas... you will be able to bet on guild wars in the arena or etc.... 1 v 1, or 2v2, etc... that's going to be pretty neat.
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E.T. is alive...
MMORPG.com - Gramp Staff
What will he do next?
Hmpf but as long as there is no RvR its no good PvP. Maaan are these Blizzard guys dumb or smthn like that ? RvR is the greatest thing on DAoC..thats the only reason why it has so much subscribers. And this Horde and Ally thing is just perfect..i dont get it..Yeah ok three Realms would be better, but 2 is cool ,too. SO WHY NO RvR ? *isgoinginsane*
Live by the sword - Die by the sword
Live by the sword - Die by the sword
-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-
E.T. is alive...
MMORPG.com - Gramp Staff
What will he do next?
The statement above about WoW becoming flooded with european players, I believe this to be true.. but i highly doubt 200,000... but.. at least we dream big right
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You can't stop the bum rush
www.mmorpg.com - staff
KillerTwinkie - That one guy who used to mod mmorpg.com's forums.
Lets pray for that Djin. With the RvR thing it would be the godda*n best MMORPG EVER !!!
Live by the sword - Die by the sword
Live by the sword - Die by the sword
Homer-"let the bears pay the bear tax, but i pay the Homer tax."
Lisa-"Dad, that's the homeOWNERS tax!"
Homer-"Whatever I'll be at Moes."
WoW=Good Graphics/Excellent Gameplay=Requires Average Com=Majority=More Money
Get my equation?
Áh¾ß¤ðÑ®
Áh?ß?ðÑ®
POopEr
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Igsharmik
Games I Play:
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Track Mania Nations Forever
Runes of Magic
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Omol da'Ox
The Blooded
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Omol da'Ox
A lurker who decided to step out of the shadows... ;-)
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Gi (honesty), yu (courage), jin (compassion), tei (courtesy), meyo (honor), makoto (sincerity) and chugo (Duty) are the Seven Tenets of Bushido. Make them yours...
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Baptized By Fire
Multi Game Battle Clan and WoW Guild
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[BBF]DeADBoYz
Baptized By Fire
WoW Guild and Multi Game Clan
www.clanbbf.com
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your joy and your pain. Let me be all the words that you'd unsay.
Igsharmik
Games I Play:
Quake Live
Track Mania Nations Forever
Runes of Magic
-- STAFF
KillerTwinkie - That one guy who used to mod mmorpg.com's forums.
People have played it a little at E3. Also two guys from a gaming mag played it for like 2 days. Both got cool reviews and reports.
Igsharmik
Games I Play:
Quake Live
Track Mania Nations Forever
Runes of Magic
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