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BOLD Prediction for the future of ESO!

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Comments

  • baphametbaphamet Member RarePosts: 3,311


    Originally posted by d_20
    I don't think it will go over that well in China:1 The art style won't appeal2 Too many skeletons :)3 Can't make a character with Asian features -- unless you think Bosmer will suffice as some people on the ESO forums maintain (which I don't)4 I don't believe the main gaming audience is as much interested in story in their mmos. Plus, localizing all that content would be a major task -- not only because of the sheer amount of content, but also because it is hard to make certain themes relevant across cultures.  The stories about the gay lovers would have to me removed. ESO stories didn't even appeal to a broad spectrum of the western target audience, even though a certain group of people does love them or at least find them decent.5 Story quests as the backbone of leveling? I don't think so.

    i agree with this. i'm sure there would be a good amount of eastern folks who would like to play a game like ESO, just like there is a good amount of westerners who like eastern mmo's.

    but in both cases they are the vast minority.

  • ZardayneZardayne Member UncommonPosts: 66

    Not if they keep rehashing old environments (IC's  daedra been there done that theme), half released material (Justice system with no bounty hunters),  Half truths or lies (removal of vet ranks), lack of classes (4 classes still isn't enough and everyone uses the same skills t make the same builds), etc. Until they fix some of these issues I don't see China putting ESO over the top.

    I'm an older gamer (began with UO) and I play with a group of co-workers who have played just about everything and something about ESO rubs a lot of folks wrong. One of the largest complaints I keep hearing is the VR ranks killed it. I was the hardest of 4 to convince to play ESO due to the 4 classes, and I was the last to leave (mainly due to the VR grind). Just to tell you how much I wanted to like it, I bought the super collectors box with Molag Bal. I still try to make a come back but those VR ranks are killer. I keep trying to convince others to return and I get the same VR complaints.  If I wanted to PVE those other lands I would have made an alt. I saw BCBully rave about the IC and how much much he was having (though I've lurked on these boards long enough to know anything ESO and he's sold) but when I pulled up a video at break time today and got some of my gaming buds together the first thing they said was, oh man same ole Daedra stuff, with enlarge versions of existing mobs, no thanks. We all love PVP, we're all ex Daoc'ers afterall, and we'd all love that Darkness falls feeling. (If I'm wrong about IC and gets better please correct me as we only watched a short clip ).

    To me, these are issues Zeni has to tackle before they retain WOW numbers. As you can see it is already affecting true MMO players who love the genre. Sure they might be able to sale a lot of boxes but retaining them is a whole different thing. Sorry if this is kinda here or there but I'm at work and very limited on time for a proper write-up.

    image
  • PyukPyuk Member UncommonPosts: 762
    Originally posted by ElRenmazuo
    I predict there will be a lot more gold sellers

    WINNER! image

    I make spreadsheets at work - I don't want to make them for the games I play.

  • alkarionlogalkarionlog Member EpicPosts: 3,584
    Originally posted by bcbully

    With the recent news of China lifting their console ban allowing people to purchase consoles, I have a BOLD prediction for Tamriel Unlimited. 

     

    By the end of 2016 The Elder Scrolls Online: Tamriel Unlimited will become the biggest western mmorpg surpassing WoW. I predict ESO will sell a minimum of 10 million copies in China.

     

    Thoughts? image

    what kinda of drugs are you using?

    FOR HONOR, FOR FREEDOM.... and for some money.
  • NobleNerdNobleNerd Member UncommonPosts: 759
    Originally posted by Spiider

    I was good at predicting that they will go f2p soon after launch. I predict that your prediction is false.

    ESO is not a game that offers enough to surpass wow. Imho.

    Seeing ESO is not f2p your prediction meter could use some work.

     


  • NobleNerdNobleNerd Member UncommonPosts: 759
    Originally posted by bcbully
    Originally posted by Iselin
    Originally posted by bcbully

    With the recent news of China lifting their console ban allowing people to purchase consoles, I have a BOLD prediction for Tamriel Unlimited. 

     

    By the end of 2016 The Elder Scrolls Online: Tamriel Unlimited will become the biggest western mmorpg surpassing WoW. I predict ESO will sell a minimum of 10 million copies in China.

     

    Thoughts? image

    Won't they have to localize it first? As far as I'm aware, ESO has not localized for Korean, Japanese, Russian or Chinese. As a matter of fact, they seem totally uninterested in doing so whether for PC or console and is available in English, German and French only.

     

    And unlike WOW's localization, this would be no small task since ESO is heavily voiced and WOW never was when they localized.

    Changing my prediction end of 2017!

    It has taken them a year and a half to get Imperial City out and you think they would even try this with the limited staffing they have now?

    Let's get real.


  • GravendGravend Member UncommonPosts: 58

    personally, I hope it just keeps a healthy population and keeps improving on what it's doing. I've been playing for a little over a month now on ps4, and I have to say, I haven't had this much fun playing an mmo since vanilla wow. The quests are really well written and the combat keeps me engaged pretty well. So here's to hoping the game stays healthy for years to come, I for one will be playing as long as the servers are alive :).

  • rojoArcueidrojoArcueid Member EpicPosts: 10,722
    Originally posted by NobleNerd
    Originally posted by bcbully
    Originally posted by Iselin
    Originally posted by bcbully

    With the recent news of China lifting their console ban allowing people to purchase consoles, I have a BOLD prediction for Tamriel Unlimited. 

     

    By the end of 2016 The Elder Scrolls Online: Tamriel Unlimited will become the biggest western mmorpg surpassing WoW. I predict ESO will sell a minimum of 10 million copies in China.

     

    Thoughts? image

    Won't they have to localize it first? As far as I'm aware, ESO has not localized for Korean, Japanese, Russian or Chinese. As a matter of fact, they seem totally uninterested in doing so whether for PC or console and is available in English, German and French only.

     

    And unlike WOW's localization, this would be no small task since ESO is heavily voiced and WOW never was when they localized.

    Changing my prediction end of 2017!

    It has taken them a year and a half to get Imperial City out and you think they would even try this with the limited staffing they have now?

    Let's get real.

    Bethesda can localize ESO for ZoS...

    Wait no... scratch that, they better be working on TES VI.image





  • Nicco77Nicco77 Member UncommonPosts: 145
    I predict more veteran ranks.
  • gervaise1gervaise1 Member EpicPosts: 6,919
    Originally posted by Loke666

    I kinda doubt it. Releasing in China and selling a few million copies like GW2 did on PC is not unlikely but we are talking about something like 2M here. A lot of money still but 10M seems unrealistic to me, I doubt it would get more active players in China than Wow had when it peaked.

    China is an interesting market and even 1M copies and some micro transactions means a healthy sum for any MMO but let's not get unrealistic hopes here.

    ESO on consoles can probably compete very well with GW2 and maybe even in best scenario with the aging Wow. Wow at it's peak was a very different beast though and you need more than ESO to really beat that.

    I think ESO should release in China though, even in worst case it will still sell a few hundred K copies so it is worth the work.

    What did in China though (with GW2) "a bold move": they "sold" the game. Charged up front. Which is not the norm. Although FFXIV - essentially - did the same when it sold game time with a free game. (Rather than selling the game with 30 days!) 

    So there are possibilities but not "easy" - and yes Zenimax would have to partner with someone as well.

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  • KilraneKilrane Member UncommonPosts: 322

    I didn't even realize that consoles were banned in China. Honestly, I'm more interested in the lift of their ban than your prediction.

     

    With that said, I do think ESO is a fun game, but I don't know if it will become that popular in China. Only time will tell. . .

  • mmoluvammoluva Member UncommonPosts: 323
    Originally posted by Iselin
    Originally posted by greenreen

    Lol and I predict you won't even be playing the game by the time your prediction comes.

    You were all excited about one of those other games for awhile - wakfu or something?

    Now it's ESO ESO ESO!

    It will get replaced :P

    I hope so. I'm all for replacing old games with better ones. I don't get married to them, I just play them.

     

    This is the correct attitude toward games.  I'm hoping Crowfall does something.

  • sketocafesketocafe Member UncommonPosts: 950
    Originally posted by Octagon7711
    I have seen Chinese Kung-Fu movies about the dead, vampires, magic and other supernatural phenomena, that made it past the censors.

    Fantasy Mission Force?

  • IselinIselin Member LegendaryPosts: 18,719
    Originally posted by Dren_Utogi

    Game is buzzing with new players everyday. Gameis a success.

     

    I've been amazed by how steady the sales on Steam have been since the B2P and rebranding to ESO:TU. It goes in and out of the top 10 in sales constantly. Whenever I think it's out of the top 10 for good, it makes a come back in short order.

     

    Old time players that don't constantly make new low level characters like I do to try leveling with different builds, probably have no idea just how crowded the lowbee areas are. I haven't seen it this populated since early release more than a year ago.

    "Social media gives legions of idiots the right to speak when they once only spoke at a bar after a glass of wine, without harming the community ... but now they have the same right to speak as a Nobel Prize winner. It's the invasion of the idiots”

    ― Umberto Eco

    “Microtransactions? In a single player role-playing game? Are you nuts?” 
    ― CD PROJEKT RED

  • pokrakpokrak Member UncommonPosts: 111
    Originally posted by Spiider

    I was good at predicting that they will go f2p soon after launch. I predict that your prediction is false.

    ESO is not a game that offers enough to surpass wow. Imho.

    lol on this,

    ESO is so much better than wow

  • stevebombsquadstevebombsquad Member UncommonPosts: 884
    Originally posted by Loke666

    I kinda doubt it. Releasing in China and selling a few million copies like GW2 did on PC is not unlikely but we are talking about something like 2M here. A lot of money still but 10M seems unrealistic to me, I doubt it would get more active players in China than Wow had when it peaked.

    China is an interesting market and even 1M copies and some micro transactions means a healthy sum for any MMO but let's not get unrealistic hopes here.

    ESO on consoles can probably compete very well with GW2 and maybe even in best scenario with the aging Wow. Wow at it's peak was a very different beast though and you need more than ESO to really beat that.

    I think ESO should release in China though, even in worst case it will still sell a few hundred K copies so it is worth the work.

    I don't know, GW2 wasn't well received in China. They did server merges before the year was out. I don't think that ESO will do much better. I think ESO is probably already number 2 in the west or maybe number 3 depending on SWTOR's numbers.

    James T. Kirk: All she's got isn't good enough! What else ya got?

  • baphametbaphamet Member RarePosts: 3,311


    Originally posted by stevebombsquad
    Originally posted by Loke666 I kinda doubt it. Releasing in China and selling a few million copies like GW2 did on PC is not unlikely but we are talking about something like 2M here. A lot of money still but 10M seems unrealistic to me, I doubt it would get more active players in China than Wow had when it peaked. China is an interesting market and even 1M copies and some micro transactions means a healthy sum for any MMO but let's not get unrealistic hopes here. ESO on consoles can probably compete very well with GW2 and maybe even in best scenario with the aging Wow. Wow at it's peak was a very different beast though and you need more than ESO to really beat that. I think ESO should release in China though, even in worst case it will still sell a few hundred K copies so it is worth the work.
    I don't know, GW2 wasn't well received in China. They did server merges before the year was out. I don't think that ESO will do much better. I think ESO is probably already number 2 in the west or maybe number 3 depending on SWTOR's numbers.

    if you include consoles, it's definitely #2 behind wow.

  • DarLorkarDarLorkar Member UncommonPosts: 1,082
    Originally posted by Iselin
    Originally posted by Dren_Utogi

    Game is buzzing with new players everyday. Gameis a success.

     

    I've been amazed by how steady the sales on Steam have been since the B2P and rebranding to ESO:TU. It goes in and out of the top 10 in sales constantly. Whenever I think it's out of the top 10 for good, it makes a come back in short order.

     

    Old time players that don't constantly make new low level characters like I do to try leveling with different builds, probably have no idea just how crowded the lowbee areas are. I haven't seen it this populated since early release more than a year ago.

    But are they sticking around?

     

    Never played so i have no idea. never thought it would be my type of game so never tried it at all. Just wonder if they are trying the game and leaving soon after...or playing longer term?

  • mithossmithoss Member UncommonPosts: 227
    Originally posted by SlyLoK

    If they release in China they will probably have to do a lot of changing. The Chinese government is very sensitive.. to everything really. Sony had to drop a lot of scenes out of Pixels all because China didnt like it... A kids movie was offensive!?

    Everything Sandler and James do is offensive

  • ReizlaReizla Member RarePosts: 4,092

    Originally posted by bcbully

    With the recent news of China lifting their console ban allowing people to purchase consoles, I have a BOLD prediction for Tamriel Unlimited. 

     

    By the end of 2016 The Elder Scrolls Online: Tamriel Unlimited will become the biggest western mmorpg surpassing WoW. I predict ESO will sell a minimum of 10 million copies in China.

     

    Thoughts? image

    Originally posted by ElRenmazuo
    I predict there will be a lot more gold sellers

    Then at least they're on the console versions of the game and not on the PC version :D

  • IselinIselin Member LegendaryPosts: 18,719
    Originally posted by DarLorkar
    Originally posted by Iselin
    Originally posted by Dren_Utogi

    Game is buzzing with new players everyday. Gameis a success.

     

    I've been amazed by how steady the sales on Steam have been since the B2P and rebranding to ESO:TU. It goes in and out of the top 10 in sales constantly. Whenever I think it's out of the top 10 for good, it makes a come back in short order.

     

    Old time players that don't constantly make new low level characters like I do to try leveling with different builds, probably have no idea just how crowded the lowbee areas are. I haven't seen it this populated since early release more than a year ago.

    But are they sticking around?

     

    Never played so i have no idea. never thought it would be my type of game so never tried it at all. Just wonder if they are trying the game and leaving soon after...or playing longer term?

    That's hard to tell in a megaserver game that doesn't let you explicitly "travel" from one version of a zone to another. Some other megaserver games (like TSW for example) had a pull down menu that tells you which numbered version you're in and let you move to another from a drop-down list so you could sort of tell from that. ESO doesn't have that. The starter area could have 20 versions to accommodate the population or just one and it would all look the same to you. Having said that, the population density looks very good everywhere at all levels... noticeably better than it did last fall.

     

    As to how many try it and leave it, I don't expect retention is any different here from any other MMO: lots leave during the first month and first three months as usual.

     

    "Social media gives legions of idiots the right to speak when they once only spoke at a bar after a glass of wine, without harming the community ... but now they have the same right to speak as a Nobel Prize winner. It's the invasion of the idiots”

    ― Umberto Eco

    “Microtransactions? In a single player role-playing game? Are you nuts?” 
    ― CD PROJEKT RED

  • PainlezzPainlezz Member UncommonPosts: 646
    I agree with many here:

    - This game is centered around fully voiced content which is not something they'll be able to localize

    - If you've ever played an Asian MMO (or game in general) then you know that it must have mostly naked women (and little girls) in order to appeal to them.  Simply put, this game uses armor that covers up too much, the female characters need bigger boobs, and there are no little girls to pedo over!

    - Honestly, I think Asian cultures love grinding and this game doesn't have much from what I can tell.  You jump from quest to quest and they don't generally involve killing 100's of guys to complete.  I don't know how end-game is but I don't see a lot of grindy-ness in it either....
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